China is a through train: a moderately loose monetary policy will be implemented in 2025. Recently, both Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party and the Central Economic Work Conference decided that China will implement a moderately loose monetary policy next year. People close to the central bank said that the adjustment of monetary policy expression means that monetary policy will continue to maintain greater support for the real economy next year. In the current situation that the economic recovery is still facing many internal and external uncertainties and prices continue to run at a low level, this is very necessary, and it also reflects the central decision-making deployment of "implementing more active and promising macro policies". Judging from a series of recent policy operations and official statements, China's macro-control ideas are also being dynamically optimized, gradually paying more attention to investment from the past, paying equal attention to investment and consumption, and paying more attention to consumption change. People close to the central bank said that in the future, moderately loose monetary policy will be consistent with the overall macro-control thinking change, and more support will be given to promoting consumption and benefiting people's livelihood. (The country is a through train)Analysis: Two major factors, disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts, affect the total financial data. According to the analysis of market institutions, the financial data of the current month are greatly influenced by disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts. The reform of financial institutions has been carried out in an orderly manner, and the disposal of non-performing assets of commercial banks has pressed the "acceleration button". According to industry insiders, the write-off of non-performing loans is only a bank accounting treatment, and the lending relationship between banks and enterprises has not changed, which does not directly affect the business activities of the real economy. In November, some non-performing loans were sold through packaging, transfer and sale, so that non-performing assets were listed as a whole. This part is not included in the scale of social financing, which will have a certain impact on the growth rate of social financing scale, but it will also not affect the financing relationship of the real economy. In addition, the intensity of localized debts has increased, and local governments may accelerate the replacement of debts in the short term, affecting the credit stock. It is understood that the Ministry of Finance has issued new local debt limits to all localities, and some provinces have started issuing them. At present, the total amount of special bonds issued by local governments in China has basically reached the planned annual issuance quota. According to market research, after the financing platform and other entities get the special debt funds, most of them will repay the debts in about 10 to 20 days, most of which are loans, so as to avoid "paying interest at both ends" of bonds and loans. It is estimated that nearly 250 billion yuan of local bond swap will be completed nationwide in November, and there will be a larger bond swap in December. According to industry insiders, for local governments, after the debt pressure is released slowly, it is more conducive to the development of the real economy, which is good for relieving the debt chain, smoothing the economic cycle and preventing risks, and has multiple positive effects. (The country is a through train)Hokkaido, Japan will levy accommodation tax from 2026, and it is estimated that the annual tax revenue will reach 4.5 billion yen. On December 12, the plenary session of Hokkaido Parliament of Japan passed a regulation to levy accommodation tax on tourists staying in hotels and hotels in Daodao, which is expected to be implemented from April 2026. The accommodation fee per person per night is 500 yen if it is above 50,000 yen (about 2,380 yuan), 200 yen if it is between 20,000 and 50,000 yen, and 100 yen if it is below 20,000 yen. It is estimated that the annual tax revenue will reach about 4.5 billion yen, which will be used for transportation infrastructure construction and "excessive tourism" (tourism pollution) countermeasures.
Nasdaq China Jinlong Index fell more than 2% in the day, while Nasdaq China Jinlong Index fluctuated lower, falling more than 2% in the day. Shells fell more than 5%, while iQiyi, New Oriental and Jinshan Cloud fell more than 4%.USD/CAD of USD/CAD once rose by 0.2%, hitting a four-and-a-half-year high of 1.4244.The average auction yield of 25-day cash management bills in Canada is 3.276%.
For the first time since November 2022, the yield of 10-year US Treasury bonds has exceeded the yield of 3-month US Treasury bonds.Guangyunda: It is planned to raise no more than 448.9 million yuan from Junguang Investment. Guangyunda announced that the type of shares to be issued by the company to a specific target is domestic listed RMB ordinary shares (A shares) with a par value of RMB 1.00 per share. The object of issue is Shenzhen Junguang Investment Holding Co., Ltd., and the issue price is determined to be 7.74 yuan/share. The number of shares issued this time does not exceed 58 million shares (inclusive), which does not exceed 30% of the total share capital of the company before this issuance. The total amount of funds raised by the proposed stock issue to a specific target does not exceed RMB 448.92 million (inclusive), and the net amount of funds raised after deducting the issuance expenses is intended to be used to supplement the working capital. This proposal still needs to be submitted to the company's shareholders' meeting for consideration.Official of the National Development and Reform Commission: More active and promising, and the Central Economic Work Conference highlights the large space for follow-up policies. Liu Jianxing, deputy director of the Institute of Market and Price of the National Development and Reform Commission, believes that expanding domestic demand in an all-round way is an effective way to cope with external shocks and stabilize economic operation, and it is also a long-term strategy to enhance development initiative. In the current situation of increasing export uncertainty, expanding domestic demand in an all-round way plays a vital role in stabilizing economic growth, promoting economic restructuring and transformation and upgrading. (Xinhua Finance)
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14